The odds of Prime Minister Keir Starmer resigning by June 23 have risen sharply on Polymarket, jumping from ~75% to ~83% - an 8 percentage point increase.
The growing market consensus suggests growing pressure on the PM, with the odds of him still being in office on that date now less than 1-in-5. Starmer has so far resisted calls to step down, but the shifting Polymarket odds point to rising doubts over his political future.