A large £1,800 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by June 22. The trade suggests an ~80% implied probability that Starmer's resignation will be announced by that date.
The anonymous trader, known as 'Dearest-Agenda', opened the position on the 'Starmer leaving Downing Street by June 22' market. Polymarket is a leading prediction market platform where users can bet on the outcomes of political and other events.