PM Starmer tipped to resign by July 31, £1.6k Polymarket bet suggests

· large trade ·July 31

Briefing

A large £1.6k bet on Polymarket suggests Prime Minister Keir Starmer is expected to resign by July 31, with the market implying a ~100% chance of his exit by that date.

The anonymous trader 'Imaginative-River' opened the £1.6k position, betting that Starmer will no longer be PM on or before July 31. This indicates a high degree of confidence in the Labour leader's imminent departure from Downing Street.