A £1,800 Polymarket bet has been placed on Prime Minister Keir Starmer leaving Downing Street by July 31, according to the latest market data. The trade implies around a ~46% chance that Starmer's resignation will be announced by that date.
The market suggests a notable level of uncertainty around Starmer's political future, with the £1.8k stake reflecting a significant wager on the PM's potential departure in the coming months.