A £1.9k Polymarket bet has been placed on UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer remaining in office past June 30, suggesting around a ~16% chance he will still be PM on that date.
The large trade, made by user 'Fair-Pace', closed a position predicting Starmer will still be in Downing Street on June 30. This implies the market sees a relatively low probability of the Labour leader resigning or being forced out before the end of the second quarter.