A £5,300 Polymarket bet has been placed on Keir Starmer remaining as Prime Minister beyond June 30, implying a ~15% chance the Labour leader will still be in office on that date.
The large trade suggests some market participants believe Starmer is likely to survive as PM past the end of June, despite growing pressure from within his party. Polymarket odds currently indicate around an 85% chance Starmer will have left office by that point.