A large £19,000 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by December 31. The trade implies a ~99% chance of Starmer's resignation being announced by the end of the year.
The anonymous trader, known as 'Opulent-Right', opened the position on the 'Starmer leaving Downing Street by December 31' market. Polymarket data suggests the market is highly confident in this outcome, with the implied probability of Starmer's exit reaching around 99%.