A new Polymarket betting market suggests the odds of Prime Minister Keir Starmer resigning by June 22 have fallen by around 6 percentage points to ~74%. The market previously implied an ~80% chance of Starmer's departure by that date.
The shift in odds comes as the Prime Minister battles to shore up his position amid ongoing challenges. Starmer has faced growing pressure from some Labour MPs, though the party remains broadly united behind his leadership.