A Polymarket betting market has shifted the implied resignation date for Prime Minister Keir Starmer £1,000 earlier, from 14 August 2026 to 13 August 2026. The market now suggests an ~86% chance Starmer will have stepped down as PM by that date.
The change comes as the political situation around Starmer's leadership continues to evolve. Observers will be watching closely to see how this affects the odds of his remaining in office.