A large £5,400 bet on Polymarket suggests there is around a 79% chance that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will announce his resignation by the end of this year, according to the market's implied probability.
The trade, placed by an account named 'Haunting-Pinkie', closed a position betting on Starmer leaving Downing Street before January 1st, 2023. This high-stakes wager points to growing market speculation over the PM's political future.