A £2,125 Polymarket bet has been placed on Keir Starmer remaining as Prime Minister beyond June 30, 2023. The trade implies a ~14% chance that Starmer will still be in office on that date.
The large wager suggests some market participants believe the Prime Minister is likely to survive the current political turmoil. However, the low implied probability indicates most traders expect Starmer to depart Downing Street before the summer.