A £2,600 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office by July 31, suggesting around a 36% chance he will remain PM on that date.
The large trade by user 'Watchful-Bassoon' indicates the market currently implies a ~64% chance that Starmer will have left office before the end of July. However, the trader has staked £2,600 on Starmer still being PM at that point.