A £2,364 Polymarket bet has been placed on Prime Minister Keir Starmer remaining in office until at least June 22, suggesting an ~77% chance he will still be PM on that date.
The large trade on the 'Starmer still in office on June 22' market indicates a high level of confidence that the Labour leader will not be forced to resign before the summer. Polymarket odds currently imply around a 77% probability of Starmer surviving until then.