A large £2,370 bet has been placed on Polymarket, suggesting a ~95% chance that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by June 22. The trader, known as 'Criminal-Raisin', opened the position, betting that Starmer's resignation will be announced by that date.
The substantial £2.4k wager reflects growing market sentiment that Starmer's tenure as Prime Minister may be nearing an end. Polymarket, a leading prediction market, currently indicates an ~86% probability that Starmer will no longer be PM by the end of June.