A large £2.9k bet on the Polymarket platform suggests Prime Minister Keir Starmer is expected to leave Downing Street by June 23. The market currently implies a ~100% chance the resignation will be announced by that date.
The trade, made by user 'Harmless-Baseball', is the latest sign of growing speculation around Starmer's future. Polymarket markets allow traders to bet on political outcomes, with the prices reflecting the market's collective view on the likelihood of events.