A £3,128 bet has been placed on the Polymarket prediction market that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 21, according to the betting platform. The large trade suggests the market currently sees around a ~1% chance of Starmer resigning or being ousted before that date.
The June 21 market is a 'yes/no' contract, with a 'yes' position indicating Starmer will have left office by then, and 'no' meaning he remains Prime Minister. The new £3.1k bet was an opening position, signalling confidence in Starmer surviving past the market's expiry.