A large £2,500 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 23. The trade suggests the market currently implies around a 21% chance Starmer will remain PM past that date.
The anonymous trader 'Harsh-Macro' opened the position, which would pay out if Starmer is still Prime Minister on June 23. The sizable £2.5k stake reflects confidence in Starmer surviving in the role.