Polymarket odds shift: ~51% chance PM Starmer resigns by June 23

· market re-priced ·June 23

Briefing

The odds of Prime Minister Keir Starmer resigning by June 23 have shifted significantly on Polymarket, with the probability now around 51%. This represents a 51 percentage point increase from the previous odds of 0%.

The dramatic shift in the market signals growing uncertainty over Starmer's political future, with the Prime Minister facing increasing pressure from within his own party. Observers will be closely watching developments in the coming weeks to see if Starmer is able to weather the storm or if he will ultimately step down.