A £3,000 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by July 31, with the market implying around a 96% chance of his resignation being announced by that date.
The large trade, made by an account named 'Blaring-Backdrop', suggests growing confidence among some traders that Starmer's tenure as PM could be coming to an end within the next two months.