A large £3,128 bet has been placed on Polymarket suggesting that Prime Minister Keir Starmer is highly likely to still be in office by June 25. The market currently implies around a ~1% chance that Starmer will have resigned or been removed from power by that date.
The anonymous trader, known as 'Harsh-Macro', opened the position betting on Starmer remaining as PM. This suggests growing confidence among some market participants that the Labour leader will withstand any attempts to force his resignation in the coming months.