A £3,135 Polymarket bet suggests there is a ~99% chance that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will resign before June 15, according to the market's implied probability.
The large trade, placed by user 'Flickering-Ratio', indicates the market sees only around a 1% chance that Starmer will still be in office on that date. Polymarket is a decentralized prediction platform where users can bet on political events.