A £1,176 Polymarket bet has been placed on the outcome that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 15. The trade implies just a ~1% chance that Starmer will have resigned or been ousted by that date.
The large trade suggests the market sees Starmer as highly likely to remain as Prime Minister in the coming months, despite ongoing internal pressure within the Labour Party. Polymarket's odds imply a ~99% probability Starmer will still be PM on June 15.