A large £2,109 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 30. The trade suggests the market currently implies only around an ~11% chance that Starmer will have left his post by that date.
The anonymous trader, known as 'Striking-Flag', opened the position, betting that Starmer will remain as PM on June 30. This is the latest in a series of high-stakes wagers on Starmer's political future on the Polymarket prediction platform.