A £3,800 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 30. The trade, made by user 'Judicious-Funding', implies an ~11% chance that Starmer will remain PM beyond that date.
The June 30 market is a 'yes/no' contract, with 'yes' meaning Starmer will have resigned by then. The large £3.8k stake suggests the trader believes there is a low probability of Starmer leaving before the end of June.