£3k Polymarket bet: PM Starmer to leave by June 30, market signals ~86% chance

· large trade ·June 30

Briefing

A £3,000 Polymarket bet has been placed on UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer leaving Downing Street by June 30, signalling the market sees around an 86% chance of his resignation being announced by that date.

The large trade, made by an account named 'Dead-Skylight', closed a position betting on Starmer's departure. The market currently implies an ~86% probability the Prime Minister will step down before the end of June.