A large £4,360 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office past June 15. The trade implies just a ~3% chance that Starmer will have resigned or been ousted by that date.
The anonymous trader, known as 'Flickering-Ratio', opened the position, suggesting they believe Starmer is highly likely to remain PM. Polymarket markets on Starmer's future have seen significant activity in recent weeks as Labour MPs continue to call for his resignation.