A large £5.2k bet has been placed on the Polymarket prediction market, suggesting around a 10% chance that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office beyond June 30.
The trade, made by an account named 'Different-Machinery', indicates the market believes there is a ~90% probability that Starmer will have left his position as PM by the end of June. However, the sizeable £5.2k stake suggests some believe he could defy the odds and remain in Downing Street.