A large £5,300 bet has been placed on Prime Minister Keir Starmer leaving Downing Street by June 22, according to Polymarket data. The market currently implies around an ~82% chance the resignation will be announced by that date.
The trade was made by a user named 'Mundane-Hood'. The high-stakes wager reflects growing speculation over Starmer's political future, with the PM facing increasing pressure from within his own party.