A £53,000 bet has been placed on the Polymarket platform that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 15. The trade, made by user 'Stylish-Instrument', suggests the market sees around a ~0% chance of Starmer resigning or being ousted before that date.
The June 15 date is one of several Polymarket markets tracking Starmer's political future. The large stake size and extremely low implied probability indicate traders are highly confident the Prime Minister will remain in power at least until the middle of June.