£6.7k Polymarket bet on PM Starmer staying in office by New Year's Eve

· large trade ·December 31

Briefing

A large £6.7k Polymarket trade has been placed betting that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office by the end of this year. The trade implies around a ~71% chance that Starmer remains PM on December 31.

The anonymous trader, known as 'Speedy-Divine', closed their position on the 'Starmer still in office on December 31' market. This suggests they believe the likelihood of Starmer departing before the new year is relatively low.