A large £9.4k trade has been placed on Polymarket, betting that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on May 31. The trade implies a ~0% chance that Starmer will have resigned by that date.
The bet was placed by a trader known as 'Fake-Guard'. It comes as the market continues to price in a high probability that Starmer will leave office in the coming months, with the May 31 contract trading at around 86% odds of Starmer remaining PM.