A £796 Polymarket bet that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will resign by June 30 has been closed, indicating the market believes there is only a ~16% chance he will step down by that date.
The large trade, made by a user called 'Entire-Proximal', suggests growing confidence in Starmer's political survival despite ongoing challenges. Polymarket markets tracking the PM's future have shown his implied exit probability declining in recent weeks.