A £806 bet has been placed on the Polymarket platform that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 30. The trade suggests the market currently implies around a ~15% chance that Starmer will remain PM on that date.
The large trade was made by the user 'Kosher-Refuse', who opened a position backing Starmer to stay in Downing Street past the end of June. Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform where users can bet on the outcomes of future events.