A £5,949 Polymarket bet has been placed on Keir Starmer remaining as Prime Minister beyond June 30, implying a ~16% chance the Labour leader will still be in office on that date.
The large trade suggests the market believes there is a low probability of Starmer departing before the end of June, despite ongoing speculation about his future. Polymarket date markets allow traders to bet on whether Starmer will have resigned by a given deadline.