A Polymarket trader known as 'Crazy-Fishmonger' has placed a £853 bet that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by August 31. The market currently implies around a ~54% chance that Starmer's resignation will be announced by that date.
The large trade on the 'Starmer leaving by August 31' market comes as speculation continues over the PM's future. Starmer has faced growing pressure from within his own party in recent weeks, with several Labour MPs publicly calling for him to step down.