PM Starmer facing £900 bet he'll leave by June 30

· large trade ·June 30

Briefing

A large £904 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by June 30. The trade implies around a 24% chance that Starmer's resignation will be announced by that date.

The high-stakes wager reflects growing political uncertainty around Starmer's leadership. Polymarket markets are closely watched for insights into the perceived likelihood of major political events.