A large £874 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 21. The trade implies around a 0% chance that Starmer will have resigned or been ousted by that date.
The market suggests there is little expectation of Starmer leaving Downing Street in the coming months, despite ongoing pressure from some Labour MPs. The £900 wager represents a significant vote of confidence in the PM's political survival.