The odds of Prime Minister Keir Starmer resigning by June 25 have fallen by around 8 percentage points to ~77%, according to the Polymarket prediction market. The shift comes as the PM faces growing pressure from within his own party.
Polymarket traders now see a ~77% chance Starmer will step down as Labour leader and PM by the end of June, down from ~85% previously. The change in market sentiment reflects the fluid political situation around Starmer's future.