The political odds of Prime Minister Keir Starmer resigning by June 22 have risen to around 74% on Polymarket, up from 69% previously. This shift in the market suggests growing pressure on the PM as he faces calls to step down from within his own party.
The Polymarket prediction market, which allows users to bet on the likelihood of political events, has seen a 5 percentage point increase in the implied probability that Starmer will announce his resignation before the end of next month. This change reflects the evolving political landscape surrounding the Labour leader.