PM Starmer's resignation deadline extended by one day to 18 August 2026

· implied p50 shift

Briefing

The deadline for Prime Minister Keir Starmer to announce his resignation has been pushed back by one day, from 17 August 2026 to 18 August 2026, according to betting markets.

This ~86% probability shift suggests Starmer is now slightly more likely to remain as PM past the original 17 August date, though the overall expectation is still that he will step down before the end of the month.