A large £1.2k bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in office on June 30. The trade implies around a ~16% chance that Starmer will remain PM past that date.
The anonymous trader 'Ignorant-Front' opened the position, suggesting confidence that Starmer will not face a successful rebellion or resign before the end of June. Polymarket markets allow traders to bet on the likelihood of political events like leadership changes.