A large £1,593 Polymarket bet has been placed on UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer leaving Downing Street by August 31. The market is signalling around a 99% chance that Starmer's resignation will be announced by that date.
The anonymous trader, known as 'Blaring-Backdrop', closed a position on the 'Starmer leaving Downing Street by August 31' market, suggesting strong confidence in the PM's imminent departure. Polymarket markets provide real-time data on the probability of political events.