A £1.6k bet has been placed on the Polymarket prediction market that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will resign by June 22. The market is currently signalling a ~99% chance that Starmer's resignation will be announced by that date.
The large trade, made by the anonymous user 'Harmless-Baseball', suggests growing confidence among some traders that Starmer's tenure as PM could be coming to an end in the coming weeks. However, the prediction market's high implied probability does not guarantee the outcome.