A £2,500 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will resign from office by October 31. The market is now implying a ~100% chance that Starmer's resignation will be announced by that date.
The large trade, from an anonymous account, suggests growing confidence in political circles that Starmer's tenure as PM could be coming to an end in the coming weeks. However, Starmer has not indicated any plans to step down, and the reasons behind this market move remain unclear.