A Polymarket prediction market betting on whether Prime Minister Keir Starmer will still be in power by June 22 has seen the 'Yes' odds rise from ~79% to ~85%, a 6 percentage point increase.
The £1k-pound market now suggests there is around an 85% chance Starmer will remain PM on that date, up from 79% previously. The shift comes amid ongoing speculation about Starmer's future leadership.