£2.4k bet on PM Starmer leaving by June 22, market implies ~86% chance

· large trade ·June 22

Briefing

A large £2,449 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by June 22. The market currently implies an ~86% chance that Starmer's resignation will be announced by that date.

The anonymous trader, known as 'Wilted-Kindness', opened the position betting on Starmer's exit. The large stake suggests significant confidence in the PM's departure in the coming weeks, though the outcome remains uncertain.