A £2,075 Polymarket bet has been placed on Prime Minister Keir Starmer resigning from Downing Street by December 31, implying an ~82% chance of his departure by that date. The large trade suggests growing market confidence in Starmer's exit before the new year.
The Polymarket market on Starmer's future has seen significant volatility in recent weeks, with the implied probability of his resignation by the end of the year fluctuating around 80-90%. This latest £2.1k wager indicates traders are increasingly convinced the Prime Minister will step down in the coming months.