The date by which Prime Minister Keir Starmer is expected to announce his resignation has been pushed back by 1 day, according to the latest Polymarket data. The new expected resignation date is now 23 Jul 2026, up from the previous date of 22 Jul 2026.
The shift in the implied resignation date suggests the probability of Starmer remaining as PM on that date has increased by ~86%, according to Polymarket traders.