A large £2,300 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by June 30, signalling the market believes there is an ~86% chance the resignation will be announced by that date.
The trade, made by a user named 'Stiff-Easel', suggests growing expectations of Starmer's imminent departure from the top job, though the PM has not indicated any plans to step down.