The odds of Prime Minister Keir Starmer resigning by June 30 have shifted on Polymarket, falling from ~91% to ~85% - a 6 percentage point drop. The change in odds suggests rising uncertainty around the PM's political future in the coming weeks.
Polymarket is a leading prediction market where users can bet on the outcomes of real-world events. The June 30 market is seen as a key indicator of sentiment around Starmer's position, with a 'Yes' bet implying he will have resigned by that date and a 'No' bet that he will still be PM.